Experts Claim 30-40 million Americans Could Face Evictions

Eviction Notice

There are so many things that make this era in time unique. Up until now, we’ve managed to broadcast most of the positive side, making it appear as if the early 2000s was a wave of futuristic science all rolled up into one big chapter of technological innovation.

It’s true that we can build buildings better than ever before. It’s also true that we refuse to make those buildings affordable.

Yes, modern medicine is advancing into unchartered territory. Robots can perform surgeries and surgeons may soon implant 3D-printed artificial organs into human bodies. It’s also true that a tiny virus only slightly more deadly than the flu is able to paralyze our for-profit health care system and stop the world in its tracks.

Now there’s something else that makes this moment in time one to remember. It is the crash that can only happen when a healthcare crisis smashes headfirst into a housing crisis. We must resolve that both these systems were already broken in order to fix them.

In the meantime, a new study released on August 7th shows that 30-40 million renters are at risk of being evicted in the midst of the pandemic.

The COVID-19 Eviction Crisis: An Overview of the Collaborative Project

Before we even get into the shocking content presented in this new study, it’s important to explain the sheer number of experts who came together in order to make the research possible.

First, there is Diane Yentel, President and CEO of the National Low Income Housing Coalition. She holds a Masters Degree in Social Work and boasts over 20 years of expertise in community development.

Another notable researcher on the team is Eviction Lab Research Specialist Lavar Edmonds, whose background in education and economics enables him to dig deep into the root causes of housing instability and inequality, particularly as they relate to the school system.

Emily Benfer of Wake Forest Law is the principal investigator of the study. She is heavily involved in health and social justice and founded the CLEA Award-Winning Health Justice Project. She is currently the chair of the American Bar Association’s (ABA) COVID-19 Task Force Committee on Eviction.

Housing activist David Bloom Robinson of Massachusetts Institute of Technology is also on the team along with the Innovation for Justice Program’s director Stacy Butler.

Financial government consultant Neil Steinkamp brought 20 years of social issue experience to the table with the hopes of benefitting low-income and underserved community members.

This prestigious team also includes Zach Neumann who is the founder of The COVID-19 Eviction Defense Project and co-founder Sam Gilman. Senior Program Manager at the Aspen Institute’s Financial Security Program Katherine Lucas McKay joined in to address the financial issues of COVID-era Americans. Another respected expert is anti-displacement advocate Lisa Owens, who currently serves as Executive Director at City Life/Vida Urbana.

Collectively, this group is well-versed in:

  • Housing
  • Economics
  • Legal Policies
  • Homelessness
  • Displacement
  • Racial disparities
  • Inequality in education
  • Health
  • Finance
  • Research
  • Data analysis
  • Urban planning
  • Community development
  • Various civil rights and social justice topics

It’s evident who the experts are and what their experience provides. Now it’s time to review their hypothesis and its possible impact on our nation, our children, and the world.

The key goal in this study was to quantify the impact of COVID-19 related employment losses and scale backs as they relate to the already strained affordable housing market. It was through a series of related studies that the following information was obtained:

  • In the very near future (not years, but months), anywhere from 30 to 40 million people could face eviction
  • These evictions would be largely attributed to pre-pandemic conditions that failed to secure a safety net for working-class Americans
  • Some of the most important factors include a pre-pandemic shortage of approximately 7 million affordable homes. This is in addition to a stagnant wage economy that hasn’t peaked in over 45 years and an astonishingly high number of residents under rent burden status. Rent burden is the need to pay more than 30% of wages in housing costs. This accounts for 47.5% of renters, which is more than 20 million Americans
  • When you add a new employment crisis that boasts an unemployment-population ratio of 52.8% to this housing crisis, you get an eviction crisis the likes of which has never been seen in the entire history of the United States
  • Of these at-risk renters, 14 million are families with children. This puts education for the entire upcoming generation in serious jeopardy

Bracing for the Future: Possible Long-Term Adverse Effects of Mass Eviction in the United States

An eviction crisis of such proportions could ruin the US economy for generations to come. If all or most of these evicted household members become homeless, we would see a spike not just in COVID-19 positive test results and related deaths, but also in all communicable diseases as homeless people are three to four times more likely to get sick and/or die from communicable diseases. This would create yet another strain on our already struggling healthcare system.

Education is another pivotal part of our society that would undoubtedly falter if millions of school children were forced out of their homes and into shelters  … or onto the sofas of other relatives … or worse, ushered from street corner to street corner as police forces sweep the streets simply moving homelessness from city to city as if it were dust caught in the bristles of a broom. And with government aid as a last resource, national welfare could also buckle under the pressure. This means not just poverty and homelessness but hunger, too. That’s the one thing our nation has been holding together decently up until now.

We Need #RentReliefNow

If you envision a world where millions of children aren’t starving on street corners … a world where everyone has equal access to basic survival components like food, shelter, and education, be sure to circulate the hashtag #RentReliefNow and speak to your local reps about how they plan to avoid evictions now and in the future.

Cynthia Griffith

Cynthia Griffith


Cynthia Griffith is a freelance writer dedicated to social justice and environmental issues.

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